Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 2.827217 3.021922 3.230124 3.470503 3.741881 4.040568 4.396688
2025-12-21 2.533382 2.798496 3.098367 3.466922 3.913814 4.446560 5.143214
2025-12-28 2.346252 2.645030 2.995140 3.443424 4.014225 4.734946 5.746450
2026-01-04 2.165122 2.474866 2.846783 3.336997 3.983860 4.836962 6.103350
2026-01-11 2.061497 2.386819 2.786449 3.327977 4.067978 5.087828 6.694013
2026-01-18 2.004955 2.350679 2.785054 3.390351 4.247986 5.486940 7.571778
2026-01-25 2.104126 2.516779 3.054452 3.839242 5.022514 6.882978 10.439856
2026-02-01 1.971874 2.371038 2.896193 3.672429 4.863318 6.782403 10.598622
2026-02-08 1.845756 2.227330 2.732660 3.486077 4.655964 6.574120 10.498204
2026-02-15 1.777868 2.158533 2.668385 3.439994 4.663652 6.732730 11.191066
2026-02-22 1.703695 2.077735 2.582891 3.355924 4.601424 6.757734 11.598969
2026-03-01 1.635358 2.002112 2.501013 3.271919 4.531512 6.758919 11.953110
2026-03-08 1.555749 1.913781 2.405203 3.173841 4.452215 6.775392 12.472994
2026-03-15 1.509327 1.870263 2.372517 3.173039 4.542156 7.142272 14.086756
2026-03-22 1.461914 1.822572 2.330260 3.152511 4.593224 7.438848 15.676595
2026-03-29 1.398975 1.750050 2.247454 3.060391 4.504693 7.423813 16.302487
2026-04-05 1.363071 1.714548 2.217783 3.052568 4.570245 7.759718 18.352190
2026-04-12 1.345506 1.704465 2.225438 3.106614 4.758561 8.421624 22.283107
2026-04-19 1.405752 1.810544 2.417237 3.492949 5.671592 11.254136 43.604713
2026-04-26 1.343805 1.732007 2.314656 3.349912 5.454067 10.883577 43.119429
2026-05-03 1.281100 1.650705 2.205125 3.189383 5.187008 10.326996 40.543091
2026-05-10 1.247613 1.612503 2.163153 3.149564 5.182353 10.574456 45.952793
2026-05-17 1.208972 1.565335 2.104993 3.076795 5.097491 10.555719 48.958063